Residual Values Data File & Custom Quote
Forecast Residuals With Exacting Precision
JD Power provides future vehicle residual and depreciation forecasts based on more than 50 years of historical, market, and behavioral data. We’re the industry benchmark for lease pricing, informing ~40% of all new-vehicle launches in North America and nearly all U.S. leases. Model 8.0 introduces merges JD Power proprietary data (incentives, brand value, performance, charging time), Voice-of-the-Customer insights, and Recurrent EV battery intelligence.
Core Strengths
Unmatched Precision
• Forecasts wholesale values (% of MSRP and $) at 12–60 months for all vehicles
• Monthly model-level forecasts (baseline 15k mi/year) with trim-level detail
• Uses PIN data (incentives, options) + APEAL consumer surveys
• Updates are bi-monthly to align with lease cycles
• Product suite: Residual Value Files, Workbench, consulting, portfolio analysis, Stormwatch scenario tool
Business Impact
Smarter, More Profitable Decisions
• Enables more intelligent data-driven lease and financing decisions
• Industry-standard accuracy improves OEM & lender planning
• Facilitates optimized lease rates and incentive strategies
• Offers better forecasting of depreciation and resale outcomes
• Provides stronger portfolio resilience and lower residual-risk exposure
Key Features
Breakthrough Forecasting
• Integrates incentives, brand value, performance, charging metrics
• Uses Voice-of-the-Customer intelligence
• Delivers the most accurate EV residuals available
Advanced Analytics & ML
• Uses Bayesian regression + XGBoost modeling for more accurate results
• Incorporates real-world market variables and consumer expectations
• Produces stable, reliable forecasts across all segments
Comprehensive Tools & Delivery
• Residual Value Files & Workbench provide deep analysis
• Consulting & portfolio analysis is used for more strategic planning
• Consulting analysis for scenario modeling includes stress testing and risk management
Who Residual Data File & Custom Quote Is Built For
• OEM finance & pricing teams
• Captive finance companies
• Banks & credit unions
• Fleet managers
• Automotive investment firms
• Any team needing to forecast depreciation or set lease residuals
