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The Automotive Update: What fleets learnt about electromobility at Flotte

Fleets flocked to Flotte in Germany, with industry experts taking to the stage to share vital insights. Autovista24 editor Tom Geggus finds out what happened at the event in the latest Automotive Update podcast. In this episode, Dr Christof Engelskirchen, chief economist and director of professional services, Europe, JD Power, shared his Flotte insights. This includes electrification, the role of fleets, and the opportunities and risks for these businesses. Subscribe to the Autovista24 podcast and listen to previous episodes on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music. Fleets and Flotte Taking place between 25 and 26 March in Düsseldorf, Germany, Flotte welcomes Germany’s fleet industry experts and decision makers. Among them was a team from JD Power, including Dr Christof Engelskirchen, who gave a presentation at Flotte. His session was titled ‘E-mobility in the headwinds – fleets as a beacon of hope and risk factor’. Speaking with Autovista24 editor Tom Geggus, he outlined some of the major points from this presentation. Of all the topics that could be presented to a room full of fleet professionals, one stood out: electrification. Fleets play an important role in the push towards electric vehicles, while the technology presents big risks and opportunities. Fleets behind the steering wheel In major EU new-car markets, electrification continues to be a subject in the headlights. Battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) currently make up under 30% of new-car registrations in each of Germany, France, Italy and Spain, according to ACEA. ‘That is a long way to go when you consider what the EU has been prescribing, which used to be a 100% tailpipe CO2 emission reduction by 2035 and is now becoming a 90% reduction,’ Engelskirchen said. ‘So, we have that gap that needs to be bridged.’ One of the biggest markets in the region, contributing heavily to the powertrain development, is Germany. With a large fleet industry making a significant proportion of registrations, these businesses will be vital to electrification. Weighing things up at Flotte There are sizeable opportunities for fleets within this transformation. Engelskirchen outlined that one of the biggest opportunities is the additional volume that is running through leasing companies and banks. Other buyers, such as private consumers and other companies, may not want to hold BEV asset risks. But this is not a result of disliking the powertrain. It is because it is not their core business to manage asset risks. Instead, this is the business of banks and leasing companies, Engelskirchen outlined. Leasing companies are now shifting their portfolios from what was 95% internal-combustion engine vehicles towards a greater balance. By 2035, it is conceivable that these fleets will have changed massively in favour of BEVs. However, this transition brings about its own risks. ‘You do need to get your head around the different residual value and depreciation profiles of electric vehicles. It is very dynamic,’ said Engelskirchen. ‘It certainly requires additional variables to consider in your risk management.’
3D Thermal Image of Minivan Car Model||||| Government

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How AI, data and telematics are transforming commercial vehicle fleet operations

Commercial fleets have access to more accurate data, stronger system integration, and advanced artificial intelligence (AI) applications. How exactly will this improve efficiency and enhance fleet decisions? Autovista24 journalist Tom Hooker investigates. The face of global light-commercial vehicle (LCV) fleets is changing rapidly and becoming increasingly technological. Today, fleets have multiple data points, software systems and AI tools at their disposal. At this year’s Commercial Fleets Summit 2026, industry experts focused on the different ways these technologies can benefit businesses. This ranged from enabling predictive maintenance to AI-based driver coaching. However, unless developments like these actually resolve key fleet concerns, they will remain inconsequential. So, can a more connected fleet really improve on important metrics such as return on investment (ROI), productivity and uptime? Fleet productivity and the wider ecosystem For some, the future of connected fleets is about much more than the vehicle itself. ‘Today is not about having the best van. It is about having the integration of the whole system,’ explained Jeronimo Saiz, head of fleet operations at Kia Europe. ‘You need to look at not only purchasing the van, but also having the telematics, a fantastic upfit and the best financing partner. It is a huge advantage. You are going to save money with energy consumption, route planning, how and where you service the vehicle, and how you forecast,’ he added. From left to right: Ben Varey, commercial fleet expert at Nexus Communication. Jeronimo Saiz, head of fleet operations at Kia Europe. Thomas Herzog, head of key account management international, MAN Truck & Bus AG. Thomas Unger, chief marketing officer at Sortimo. Steven Schoefs, head of strategic relations at Nexus Communication For this advantage to come to fruition, fleet connectivity across the whole ecosystem is vital. Telematics partners, maintenance partners, and the vehicle itself all need to work together. However, for many, that potential is yet to be realised. ‘Most of the large fleets are not yet fully connected. We are not getting the very best out of what we could. Connectivity, together with AI, should drive savings, more efficiency and better fleet management,’ projected Saiz. Yet any advantages may not just appear in the balance sheet. With the help of AI, a more connected LCV fleet may present other material benefits. ‘When you talk about normal wear and tear, this is what I think could be the biggest advantage of AI, to reduce [unnecessary] stops,’ highlighted Thomas Herzog, head of key account management international, MAN Truck & Bus AG. ‘Yes, we make revenue in our workshops. But if we can reduce it and help to have the van only stop working once per year, then that is beneficial for all of us,’ he added. ‘What we are facing is the chance with AI to escape from routine work and daily routines to have more time and capacity to interact with customers.’ AI agents in fleets Some of the most advanced fleets are using AI to help operations. However, the effectiveness of these agents is still reliant on data from the field. ‘How do we see fleet management in the future? At the centre, there should be an AI agent that brings the data of various systems together,’ stated Fabian Seithel, associate vice president of sales and business development EMEA at Geotab. Fabian Seithel, associate vice president of sales and business development EMEA at Geotab ‘Today, data is siloed far too much. That makes it very difficult for AI to act. A lot of it depends on input. So, the future should be an AI agent acting independently but supervised by a fleet manager who sets the tone for the agent,’ he commented. A clear shift This marks a clear shift away from using multiple telematic systems and towards more unified and automated operations. ‘Telematics started with track and trace a long time ago. Then it moved to data extraction: I want to know the fuel level [of a van in my fleet] or a fault code. But now, we are in the AI-powered phase,’ Seithel said. These systems can observe, plan, act and evaluate. For fleets, this means they can identify a problem, decide what to do and trigger the next step. Seithel cited maintenance as a clear example, outlining Geotab’s analysis of data from 5.8 million vehicles. The aim was to understand breakdown patterns and engine faults, providing an actionable risk model for fleets. ‘So, we quantify the risk of breakdown, such as 50%, then a fleet can use those predictions. Some fleets are more risk averse then others. For example, maybe in December, a delivery fleet takes the risk of a 50% breakdown to get as many parcels out as possible. We cannot drive the decision, but we can quantify the risk and explain it using contextual data,’ he explained. Another use case presented was a video-based AI coach. Observing driver behaviour, the coach could give instructions in real-time. For example, it can suggest removing a distraction or taking a break. Goldmine of fleet data Some experts argued that a major issue commercial fleets face is getting concrete value from multiple data points. ‘Every fleet is sitting on a goldmine of data. The issue we have across the industry is getting the value out. That data is a challenge for us, because the industry keeps calling what we call faster clipboards,’ said Danielle Walsh, founder and CEO of Clearly. ‘Back in the day, we held a physical clipboard and wrote down what was wrong with our fleet and how it could be managed. We then moved to the electronic age, putting data into a spreadsheet or an electronic form,’ she said. ‘That moved into the connected age, with a lot of connectivity, and we created dashboards or spreadsheets in the cloud. Now, we are in the intelligence era, and we are stuck,’ Walsh stated. She highlighted that on paper, a vehicle may appear to be in an acceptable condition. Yet, once maintenance, fuel, and finance data are combined, the story can change. Perhaps the vehicle needed servicing, not replacement, for example. ‘You can do three things when you connect your data. First, you can see what drives your cost. Is it across driver behaviour, the maintenance or the asset? Second, you know when to replace the asset, not when the lease says so. Instead, drive the decision by data. Third, make decisions on data, not policy,’ said Walsh. Ultimately, better fleet data should not just confirm prior assumptions but inform what decisions are made. Tactical fleet electrification After fleet managers discover the recommended outcomes, the next step is to act. However, when it comes to electrification, there are barriers to overcome in building confidence in these decisions. ‘The fleets responsible for ordering the vehicles have environmental, social and governance (ESG) targets, net-zero targets, or regulations asking them to electrify faster,’ outlined Alfred Richard, co-founder and CEO of Nelson. Alfred Richard, co-founder and CEO of Nelson ‘However, you have an operations manager slowing down the entire process because they are afraid of the productivity loss. How do you convince managers at the head office level and site level?’ he questioned. The solution may be connected fleet software. With more transparency and openness, the gap between aspirational fleet managers and hesitant site teams could be bridged. Before making decisions, Richard argued that fleets need to simulate real-world scenarios using a digital twin. Driver profiles, charging needs and route patterns all matter. ‘Simulation is a powerful thing. When you know what is happening, when you can control your current usage, you may anticipate what comes next. Thanks to all the existing data layers, you can build a digital twin of your fleet and simulate scenarios,’ he said. This can also help avoid oversimplified fleet strategies. Richard warned that when talking about the transition to electric LCVs, there is no one-size-fits-all solution. ‘You can run scenarios on the digital twin and see what the priority is. The goal is to know your fleet’s EV suitability at a global scale, but also have information driver by driver. It is not about electrifying everyone. It is about electrifying the suitable drivers,’ he said. Connected fleets are moving into a more active and autonomous phase. Fleet managers still want control, but less clutter. Accessing actionable insights coming from one unified source will be key. Those who can achieve this will have a distinct advantage over others.
line soundwave abstract background with voice music technology| Government

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The Automotive Update: EU reveals Industrial Accelerator Act proposal

What can be expected from the much-anticipated Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA)? Plus, an exclusive report from the Commercial Fleets Summit. Tom Geggus, Autovista24 editor, presents the Automotive Update podcast. This episode takes a look at the recently unveiled IAA and what it could mean for the European automotive industry. Also, Autovista24 journalist Tom Hooker dials in from the Commercial Fleets Summit, hosted in Brussels. Subscribe to the Autovista24 podcast and listen to previous episodes on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music. EU reveals the Industrial Accelerator Act The European Commission has proposed the long-anticipated Industrial Accelerator Act. Central to the legislation is the enhancement of localised EU industrial competitiveness and promotion of low-carbon production methods. The IAA aims to increase local value creation and strengthen the region’s industrial base. This comes amid perceived unfair global competition and dependencies on non-EU suppliers. The act will look to boost manufacturing's share of EU GDP to 20% by 2035. However, the IAA also outlines that the EU should remain open to outside investment. A Q&A published by the European Commission highlighted that low-carbon requirements will be created for steel and aluminium used by the automotive industry. ‘Made in the EU’ standards will also apply to aluminium. Provisions will also apply to electric vehicles and their components. The proposal builds on previous EU legislation, further streamlining the deployment of clean technologies across numerous European industries. For the automotive sector, the proposal follows last year’s Automotive Package announcement. The IAA will be negotiated by the European Parliament, and the Council of the European Union, before its adoption.  Commercial Fleets Summit reveals The Commercial Fleets Summit is a two-day international event held in Brussels. It focuses on a wide range of key issues and trends impacting the global commercial vehicle sector. Several key themes have already emerged at this year’s event, centred specifically on light-commercial vehicles. These included environmental regulation, fleet electrification, plus the incorporation of connected vehicles and use of artificial intelligence (AI). In terms of electrification, discussions centred on issues surrounding charging infrastructure efficiency. ‘There is less talk about if fleets are going to electrify. Instead, it is more about how fast, and how they are actually going to achieve that,’ stated Autovista24 journalist Tom Hooker, from the event. ‘Charging infrastructure is being seen as both a bottleneck and an opportunity. You then obviously have the interaction with the electricity grid, and this is certainly emerging as a new consideration,’ he added. The event also touched upon the future for commercial fleets. Looking ahead, these could be further integrated with digital ecosystems, with brand loyalty becoming less of a factor. Instead, digital-led frameworks could become increasingly important when selecting vehicle type and brand. Additionally, technology and AI will play an increasingly crucial role. ‘I think one of the first AI use cases will be helping fleet operators to manage and reduce fuel costs,’ Hooker said. ‘This, in turn, is having a high return on investments in some other areas. One thing I think I will hear more about later, is route optimisation and energy efficiency gains.’
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The road ahead: Residual value trends and the next market shift

A tense and uncertain economic environment is increasing pressure on Europe’s automotive market. But how will this affect residual values (RVs)? In a new webinar, Autovista Group experts discussed emerging trends and used-car impacts with Autovista24 journalist, Tom Hooker. RVs across Europe have continued to decline in 2025, amid falling used-car prices and an unstable economic environment. Meanwhile, powertrains are seeing varied performances, with one particular technology providing a surprise. But is this decline expected to continue into 2026? Autovista Group’s latest webinar, The road ahead: Residual value trends and the next market shift, answered this questions. The panel featured Dr Anne Lange, product director, valuation apps at Autovista Group, Robert Madas, regional head of valuations (DACH and CEE)​ at Autovista Group and Javier Salgado, director of valuations and forecast experts at Autovista Group. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o9ZEJQtcbHk European market faces uncertainty In the first half of 2025, Europe’s economy appeared to be stabilising after a period of stagnation. However, Lange showed how both inflation and the consumer price index have risen. This is mainly due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and conflicts. These trends have hurt the automotive industry. Stagnating economies have led to affordability issues and reduced investment. Additionally, ongoing tariff negotiations have caused delays in investment and supply. There has also been a market push for more affordable battery-electric vehicles (BEVs). Meanwhile, the market has seen battery technology become cheaper and more efficient. ‘We are in a phase of a lot of technological challenges. We have a massive electric vehicle (EV) push that is putting pressure on manufacturers to become more profitable,’ Lange noted. Furthermore, used-car prices are still dropping, albeit at a slower rate. This is despite an apparent stabilising trend in the first half of 2025. Yet, the uncertain economic environment was just one factor affecting this decline. Residual value decline expected RVs presented as a percentage of new list price (%RV) in most of Europe’s major used-car markets have continually fallen. However, the pace of this descent has now slowed compared to previous years. Madas explained that this year, %RVs remain well under 2024 levels. They are also under those recorded in 2023, 2022 and 2021 when %RVs were greatly inflated. This can be seen as a continuous market normalisation following the COVID-19 pandemic and the supply crisis. Specifically, there is growing pressure on three-to four-year-old vehicles. This age group has seen an increasing number of stock days and price changes over the last few months across all powertrains. BEVs still sell the slowest and record the highest amount of price changes in this age group, followed by plug-in hybrids (PHEVs). Overall, pressure on %RVs is forecast to remain across Europe’s major used-car markets in 2026. In particular, passenger cars at 36 months of age and above will be affected more than younger vehicles. ‘The market outlook for 2026 is still negative. We expect some more adjustments, but at a slower pace,’ Madas stated. Increasing market pressure Madas then showed how %RVs for vehicle age groups have developed differently over the last four years. The youngest used vehicles have seen %RVs reach 2021 levels in many markets. This has been caused by supply exceeding demand. Meanwhile, %RVs of cars aged 36 months and above are still relatively high. There is significant room for correction, as supply levels are expected to return in this age group. This is due to recovering new-car registrations in 2023, following particularly weak years in 2021 and 2022. Madas broke %RVs down by powertrain, where he noted that BEVs have struggled. Meanwhile, PHEVs have performed significantly better. In some markets, such as Germany, younger PHEVs have developed better than BEVs, causing the gap between the two technologies to widen. This overarching trend in Europe is caused by differences in supply. PHEVs have considerably smaller volumes in the used-car market and can be better absorbed by current demand than BEVs. Finding the fleet recipe However, Salgado pointed out that these trends do not necessarily translate directly into individual fleets. ‘Most market changes are already included in our forecast values. Ideally, reforecasts should stay quite stable, which would show that our assumptions were accurate when we first forecasted the value of the vehicle,’ Salgado commented. With most leases in Europe lasting around three and a half years, the first forecast is completed long before the car reaches the used market. When conditions change, such as demand or stock levels, forecasts are updated to include those new elements. Salgado then presented two artificial fleets of around 10,000 vehicles in Spain and Germany, with analysis completed in each quarter. The %RV of both fleets remained stable over the last year. The Spanish fleet saw the biggest change, with a small 0.5 percentage point decline. He highlighted that every fleet is unique. Even in one country, results can change depending on the powertrain or brand perception. Salgado also showed that while PHEV %RVs have provided a surprise, they are evolving similarly to petrol and diesel models in some fleets. Moreover, in this artificial fleet, full-hybrid values saw a comparatively larger drop at the end of the lease contract. This is despite the technology maintaining the highest %RVs of any powertrain in Europe. Enjoyed The road ahead: Residual value trends and the next market shift? Then sign up for Autovista Group’s next webinar: Global new-car market outlook 2026. It will take place on 25 November 2025 at 09:30 BST / 10:30 CET. Register for your place today.
Graphic showing vehicle depreciation| Insurance

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What is depreciation?

Vehicle depreciation affects every part of the automotive industry, providing clarity on profitability and financial risk. But how can this be used to benefit both companies and consumers? Tom Hooker, Autovista24 journalist, explains. From manufacturers planning models, to customers collecting a car, and businesses devising fleet strategies, depreciation is central to understanding value. It means buyers and sellers can get to grips with how much money a vehicle may lose. How is it calculated, where does it tie into residual values (RVs), and what makes depreciation such a crucial topic? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DEp0a1BfOI4&feature=youtu.be Understanding depreciation Depreciation is the amount of value a car loses over time. This can be calculated by subtracting the absolute RV from the new list price. The absolute RV represents the car's monetary value after a defined time and mileage. For example, a car may cost €40,000 brand new. After three years and 60,000km it might see an absolute RV of €18,000. This means a depreciation rate of €22,000, or 55% of its list price. Importantly, the rate of a car’s depreciation is not linear. Cars lose value more rapidly in the years following registration. This rate of decline then slows over time. However, depreciation is not the same for all cars. Factors such as age, mileage, powertrain, competitors, condition, design, service history, reliability, warranty length, fuel economy, owners, and volume can all affect depreciation. Understanding depreciation is beneficial for sellers and buyers. Sellers can better calculate financial risks. Fleet, leasing, and finance companies can decode the biggest points of depreciation and try to minimise their losses. Meanwhile, buyers who focus on cars with lower depreciation rates will take on less financial risk. This can mean getting more money back at the point of resale. Mainstream versus premium For example, comparing two compact crossover SUVs, one premium and the other mainstream, reveals the different rates of depreciation. The exemplar premium model has a list price of €55,900. After two years and 40,000km, it holds on to 58.4% of its list price, or €32,650 in absolute terms. Meanwhile, the mainstream model has a much lower list price of €43,050. However, it also retains less value at 49.8% or €21,450. While the premium model loses €23,250 after two years, the mainstream model loses €21,600. So, even with the premium car’s higher percentage and absolute RVs, its depreciation is still comparatively higher. However, if the mainstream model had a worse rate of value retention, it could indicate a desirability issue. How is depreciation used? Carmakers can compare the depreciation of one of their more luxurious models to a compact car or a direct competitor. However, this does not provide the full picture, as the two vehicles may have vastly different production costs. Understanding depreciation is also vital for fleet and leasing companies. It helps these businesses compose their fleets, with lower levels of depreciation meaning less loss. Finance companies and banks also use this metric. With accurate depreciation forecasts enabling risk and price assessment, they can manage interest rates and risk premiums accordingly. In summary, depreciation is the counterpart to residual values. It gives another lens into used-car performance, depending on the strategic focus of the company or individual.

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