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EU new-car registrations boosted in first quarter by strong March

Robust demand pushed the EU new-car market to year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2026. Rising electric vehicle (EV) sales prevailed as a significant catalyst for growth. But is a familiar powertrain still dominating sales? James Roberts, Autovista24 web editor, unpicks the latest data. In March, 1,158,317 new vehicles were registered across the EU, according to Autovista24 calculations of ACEA data. This equated to a 12.5% year-on-year lift. Overall, in March, 24 of the 27 EU states recorded new-car market growth. Assessing the first quarter of 2026, this strong March performance helped boost the EU’s overall new-car market. After three months of the year, 2,822,617 new vehicles reached EU customers according to Autovista24 analysis of ACEA data. This ensured a healthy 4% raise, amounting to an additional 107,912 units. Electric sales increase Sales of EVs, spanning battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in-hybrid vehicles (PHEVs), continued to increase in the first quarter. The EU’s four biggest markets, Germany, Italy, France, and Spain, all saw double-digit BEV volume increases in the month. This figure has been helped by domestic tax benefits and incentive schemes. However, some countries have seen consumer sentiment turn towards electrification, particularly as petrol and diesel prices increased. Hybrid powertrains, including both mild and full-hybrid versions, also made gains. Consistently the preferred choice for EU consumers, the powertrain made it over the one-million-unit mark in the first quarter. Despite this high watermark, a peak to hybrid demand could be in the rear-view mirror. New petrol vehicles are helping keep the share of internal-combustion engine (ICE) cars above EVs. This gap is narrowing, but is it closing fast enough to satisfy EU goals to phase out new petrol and diesel sales by 2030? Hybrids hold the cards The best-selling powertrain choice for new cars across the EU was hybrids. March saw 444,835 models featuring the technology roll off the bloc’s forecourts. This equated to a 20.1% volume increase and a 38.4% slice of the new-car market, up 2.4 percentage points (pp). Over the first three months of 2026, hybrid volumes increased by 12.8% year on year, with 1,089,421 units accounted for. This underscored a consistently high EU new-car market share of 38.6%, up 3pp. In the first quarter, hybrid registrations increased in 20 of the 27 EU states. Despite eye-catching EV sales growth, the larger markets saw hybrid volumes stay high. After three months of the year, these volumes outweighed both BEV and PHEV figures. Hybrid sales in Italy and Spain scored double-digit increases at 25.8% and 18.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, Germany saw an upswing of 7.4%, and France a modest gain of 3.1%. Other markets scored notable year-on-year hybrid gains in the first quarter. This included Austria with 30.2%, Czechia 14.5%, and Portugal 44.9% Bulgaria witnessed the highest hybrid percentage gain of 114.2% with 647 units registered. Estonia also saw triple-digit gains amounting to 109.3% and 2,286 units. EU EV sales on the right track? Three months into 2026, total EV sales, combining BEV and PHEV volumes, reached 815,281 units in the EU. This marked a 195,466-unit boost, equating to a 31.5% year-on-year increase. This cumulative gain carved out a 28.9% market share, up 6.1pp. BEVs made up the majority of EV registrations, with 546,937 all-electric cars making their way to EU customers. This 32.5% increase in volumes ensured a 19.4% market share, up 4.2pp. Germany enjoyed a year-on-year BEV registrations increase of 41.3% in the first three months of 2026. March helped with the country recording its biggest BEV registration increase and market share since August 2023. Despite ending the first quarter with an overall new-car market drop of 2.1%, France saw a positive BEV result. It was second only to Germany in terms of unit volumes, with 112,083 units delivered. Buoyed by Subsidies, income-based schemes, and company-car tax changes, this trend has helped stabilise the market. Spain’s new-car market impressed in 2025, but EV incentives are being ironed out for this year. However, between January and March, BEV volumes still increased by 41.6%. This is compared with early 2025, which saw inflated market results spurred by aid packages for flood-hit regions. PHEVs helping electrify EU markets Alongside BEV improvements, PHEV registrations continued to grow. In total, 268,344 PHEVs made their way to EU customers between January and March. This marked a 29.7% uptick, securing a 9.5% new-car market share, an increase of 1.9pp year on year. PHEV demand allowed Italy to return strong EV results in the three-month period. While BEV volumes improved by 65.7%, PHEV sales climbed to 40,052, a 110.1% surge. While petrol and diesel deliveries fell in the country, EVs and hybrids enabled market-wide growth of 9.2%. Austria witnessed healthy BEV uptake in the first quarter, with a 22.4% volume increase. Coupled with a 45.6% rise in PHEV sales, this pushed the country’s new-car market to a gain of 17%. Similarly, Poland continued to impress. PHEV power proved irresistible in the EU’s fifth-largest market. In the first three months of the year, the powertrain’s volumes increased by 10.5%, with 11,684 taking to Polish roads. Almost half of these units were registered in March. Balkan boost The most eye-catching EV sales bounce occurred in Croatia. The Balkan nation enjoyed a 282.4% increase in all-electric registrations to 780 units. This has seemingly been achieved with the help of an incentive scheme. Additionally, year-on-year PHEV registrations increased by 145.8%, leaping to 1,094 deliveries between January and March this year. Slovenia also saw a significant turn towards plug-in powertrains. BEV volumes increased 78.2% year on year, with 2,297 sales, while PHEV volumes rose 44.5% to 734 units. The country also saw healthy hybrid increases of 18.5% as well as a marginal petrol registration growth of 1.8%. As the EU new-car market enters the fourth month of the year, one pattern is emerging. EVs are playing a significant part in bolstering EU members’ new-car market fortunes, large and small. Adding hybrid volumes to BEV and PHEV sales across the bloc saw a total of 1,904,702 new vehicles sold between January and March. This ensured a dominant market share of 67.5%, a year-on-year gain of 9.1pp. Petrol remains a choice amid EU electrification Three months into 2026, the EU recorded 636,502 new petrol car registrations. While this marked an 18.2% year-on-year slide, it equated to a 22.6% market share, the second largest after hybrids. Significantly, petrol sales also exceeded BEV and PHEV figures. In total, just five EU nations witnessed petrol registration improvements. The highest came in Estonia, with a 106.3% year-on-year climb. Austria saw a 4.3% improvement. This was boosted by a strong March, where 8,181 new petrol variants were registered in the country. In the larger markets, falling petrol sales proved prevalent in the first quarter. France saw the biggest drop at 40.3%, then Italy at 18.6%, followed by Spain at 18.1%, and Germany at 16.1%. Combined petrol and diesel units topped out at 855,067 across the EU in the first three months of 2026. This gave new ICE registrations a 30.3% hold over the market, down 7.9pp year-on-year, but still 1.4pp ahead of the EV market share. While petrol still provides a relatively popular mainstream new-car choice, diesel continues to decline. Between January and March, 218,565 new vehicles made their way to customers, down 15.7%, returning a 7.7% market share, falling 1.8pp year on year. Just four nations recorded growth for the fuel type.
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BEVs provide return to growth in the French new-car market

After a difficult start to the year, the French new-car market returned to growth in spectacular fashion during March. Soaring battery-electric vehicle (BEV) volumes made this possible, but why did the technology see a significant increase? Tom Hooker, Autovista24 journalist, explores the figures. The new-car market in France returned to growth in March, marking the country’s first improvement since October 2025. According to the PFA, 173,634 units were registered in the month, an increase of 12.9% year on year. In part, the rise was boosted by an extra working day compared to March 2025. New-car purchases from individuals represented 46% of total volumes last month, with a 22% delivery increase, according to AAA Data. Within this sales channel, long-term leasing rose sharply. Deliveries to fleets suffered a 2% decline during March, while registrations associated with short-term rental companies climbed 19%. Despite this double-digit growth, the French new-car market recorded a 2.1% decline in the first quarter of 2026. According to AAA Data, 401,556 deliveries took place during this period, a loss of 8,528 units year on year. Similar to many major European new-car markets, the powertrain mix continues to shift towards electrification in France. BEV deliveries have soared, while hybrids are seeing more marginal year-on-year gains. But unlike the other big five markets, plug-in hybrid (PHEV) volumes have remained stagnant. This comes as both petrol and diesel registrations fell significantly. BEV growth provides lifeline BEV registrations soared 68.8% in March to 49,406 units, according to Autovista24 analysis. This growth provided a lifeline for the French new-car market. Without it, overall registrations would have fallen by 0.3% year on year. The figure presented the powertrain with a 28.5% share of overall new-car volumes, up 9.5 percentage points (pp) year on year. This was the largest market share of any in Europe’s big five automotive markets, reflecting a wider first-quarter trend. Behind the technology’s surging sales, many factors are having a positive impact on delivery volumes. ‘France’s strong increase in BEV registrations during March was mainly driven by the social leasing scheme. While the program reopened in late 2025, people who registered for the scheme are now taking delivery of their cars,’ outlined Ludovic Percier, senior residual value analyst for France. The scheme allows lower-income households to access BEVs through long-term rental contracts. These are provided at significantly reduced monthly costs, supported by the state. Monthly rental costs cannot exceed €200 excluding options, accessories and services. Some offers reach less than €140 per month. Factors assisting BEV demand ‘Other short and long-term factors have assisted demand. Since February 2025, BEVs have profited from a notable change to company-car taxation,’ Percier continued. ‘The technology faced a less severe increase in benefit-in-kind rates than any other powertrain. This makes them significantly more favourable compared to internal-combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, strengthening their appeal in the fleet market. ‘Furthermore, rising fuel prices have improved the comparative total cost of ownership of BEVs since March. However, this effect is minimal and is more linked to the used-car market,’ he commented. AAA Data also pointed towards the country's purchase and leasing incentives as a factor that has helped boost BEV volumes. Known as the ‘electric passenger vehicle boost’, the subsidy provides funds of between €3,500 and €5,700 when buying an electric vehicle (EV). Additional bonuses are available for vehicles where the battery is manufactured in Europe. At the start of 2026, the French government also raised the income ceilings defining the categories of modest households. This move means more families are eligible for higher grant levels. The industry body also noted that discounts offered by some manufacturers are helping BEV demand. From January to March, BEVs took a 27.9% share of overall new-car registrations. This was up from 18.2% during the same period of 2025. The technology enjoyed a 50.4% delivery increase to 112,083 units, according to AAA Data. Stagnant PHEVs Conversely, PHEVs faced a 2.2% delivery decline in March to 8,108 units, according to Autovista24 analysis. The powertrain took a 4.7% market share last month, down by 0.7pp year on year. PHEV volumes during the first quarter of 2026 were stagnant. Just eight fewer registrations were recorded compared to the same period last year, according to AAA Data. A total of 19,584 units ensured a 4.9% share, up 0.1pp. Combining BEV and PHEV figures, the EV market in France had a positive start to the year. Volumes improved by 53.2% in March, with its share increasing by 8.7pp to 33.1%. A 39.9% year-on-year improvement was seen in the first quarter, with 131,667 registrations. This equated to a 32.8% share, up from 22.9%. No growth in sight for ICE Internal-combustion engines, including petrol and diesel-powered models, had a weak March, suffering a 25.4% slump in deliveries year on year. According to Autovista24 analysis, the powertrain group accounted for 16.9% of new-car volumes in the month, down 8.7pp. Diesel performed particularly poorly, with a 31.2% drop to 4,448 units. This translated to a 2.6% market share, down from 4.2%. This made it the least popular powertrain in the new-car market, behind even the ‘others’ category. This powertrain group includes liquefied petroleum gas models, natural gas vehicles and super-ethanol cars. Petrol endured a 24.2% drop in March to 24,908 registrations. The fuel type made up 14.3% of overall volumes, down 7.1pp year on year. This means its market share was roughly half that of BEVs. In March 2025, petrol was ahead of the all-electric technology by 2.4pp. From January to March, deliveries of ICE-powered cars fell by 41%. The powertrain grouping recorded 68,507 registrations, with its hold on the market loosening from 28.3% to 17.1%. Broken down, diesel deliveries declined by 44.5% year on year, according to Autovista24 analysis. Its 10,067-unit total translated to a 2.5% market share, down 1.9pp. Meanwhile, petrol posted a 40.3% slump to 58,440 registrations. The fuel type represented 14.6% of total new-car volumes, down from 23.9%. The shares of both petrol and diesel models were the lowest among the major EU markets in the first quarter. This may be a factor in France’s decline across the three-month period. Hybrid’s double-digit growth Hybrids, including full and mild versions, enjoyed a double-digit delivery improvement in March. The powertrain posted 80,709 registrations in the month, increasing by 14.2% year on year. This enabled a dominant 46.5% market share, up 0.6pp, according to Autovista24 analysis. Hybrids accounted for 47.3% of the new-car market in the first quarter, an increase of 2.4pp from the same period in 2025. However, its growth was more marginal, up 3.1% to 189,904 units, according to AAA Data. Adding hybrids to the EV total, the electrified market recorded strong results in both March and the first quarter. Deliveries grew by 27.7% last month, as the powertrain group’s share rose from 70.3% to 79.6%. In the first quarter, volumes increased by 15.5%, while the group’s share sat at 80.1%, up 12.2pp year on year. The ‘others’ category did not enjoy the same success as electrified models. The powertrain group suffered a 3.7% drop in volumes to 6,054 units in March, according to Autovista24 analysis. Its share subsequently fell from 4.1% to 3.5%. Its first quarter result was more severe, as volumes slumped by 26.6% to 11,478 units. The category captured 2.9% of the new-car market in this period, down 0.9pp year on year.
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Electrified powertrains make important step in UK registration results

Electrified and internal-combustion engine (ICE) powertrains split the UK new-car market after the first quarter of the year. But after another month of improvement, is the country’s current growth sustainable? Autovista24 special content editor Phil Curry examines the market. The UK’s new-car market posted its strongest March result since 2019, as the country’s plate-change period helped boost overall volumes. According to the latest data from the SMMT, 380,627 new cars made their way to customers last month. This was an increase of 6.6% compared to 2025, equating to an extra 23,524 units, according to Autovista24 analysis. March is one of two important months for the UK market, the other being September. During these times, new registration plates are released, making deliveries more attractive. In March, new ‘26’ plates were released, with ‘76’ plates due in September. In 2025, March was the strongest month of the year, accounting for 17.7% of the annual registrations total. With the SMMT highlighting that current geopolitical changes are likely to impact the market, the same pattern may occur in 2026. Across the first quarter of the year, UK registrations are up by 5.9%, with 614,854 units delivered to customers. This is an improvement of 34,352 passenger cars, according to Autovista24 calculations. Record results in the UK March was the best month on record for electrified vehicles, according to the SMMT. This category includes full hybrids (HEVs), battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs). A total of 196,059 units were delivered in the month, a 23.1% increase year on year. Electrified volumes were also above ICE figures for the first time this year. The UK reports its ICE figures differently from other markets. Mild-hybrid powertrains are merged with their respective petrol and diesel counterparts, rather than being included with HEV figures. The electrified market overtook the petrol and diesel group for the first time in September last year. However, it slipped behind once again at the start of 2026. March’s strong result may be the start of a period of dominance for the powertrain group. After three months of the year, electrified passenger cars had overtaken ICE, thanks to their performance in March. With 307,652 registrations, the group was just 450 units ahead of the combined petrol and diesel performance. This was enough for a 50% market share. BEVs continue to improve BEVs were the second-best-selling powertrain type in the UK last month. With 86,120 deliveries, they made up 22.6% of the market. The figure was a record total for all-electric registrations, with volumes increasing 24.2% compared to March 2025. March also saw the first year-on-year improvement in BEV market share of 2026. The technology’s hold rose by 3.2 percentage points (pp) to 22.6%. However, this was some way behind the required share in the zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate. This is emphasised further by the powertrain’s performance in the first quarter of the year. Deliveries have improved by 14.5%, with 137,614 units taking to the road. However, the market share of 22.4%, while 1.7pp higher year-on-year, is 10.6pp below the mandated target. For 2026, vehicle manufacturers are required to ensure that 33% of their passenger cars registered in the UK are zero-emission models. Yet, the overall market has failed to meet the target in the first two years of the mandate. Calls for review into UK transition At the recent SMMT Electrified conference, chief executive Mike Hawes highlighted how the market had changed since the ZEV mandate was first proposed. At the start of 2026, battery costs were more than 30% higher than expected, according to the SMMT. Furthermore, the industry body said that industrial energy prices are around 80% above 2021 levels. Additionally, it also noted how public charging can cost over 140% more than five years ago.  Moreover, the SMMT has also highlighted that the current geopolitical situation, which is impacting oil prices, may spark interest in electric vehicles (EVs). Yet with a risk of higher energy prices and supply-chain costs, the increased cost of living could undermine consumer confidence. These geopolitical changes have added urgency to the automotive market’s calls for a rapid review of the ZEV transition. The SMMT has pointed to other markets, which have amended their plans to reflect current market realities. While the UK government holds firm, however, carmakers are having to invest heavily in both development and discounting to meet ZEV mandate targets. ‘Delays to a review of the UK transition will put the country in an uncompetitive position, undermining consumer choice, investment and, ultimately, the pace of decarbonisation,’ the industry body said in a statement. PHEV popularity grows While the debate about the electric transition continues, the UK’s PHEV market has been gathering strength. March saw the powertrain continue its run of strong results, with a 46.9% improvement year on year. This equated to 15,856 more units, based on Autovista24 analysis. In total, 49,671 units made it to customers in the month, giving the technology a 13% market share. This is up by 3.5pp compared to a year prior. The PHEV market has been boosted by the popularity of the Jaecoo 7, which hit the country’s market in February 2025. The Chinese brand has been building momentum, and was the most popular model in March. With 10,064 units registered in the plate-change month, it accounted for 20.3% of total PHEV deliveries. In the first quarter, PHEVs have seen volumes increase by 46.5% compared to the same period in 2025. With 78,666 units, this offered the powertrain a 12.8% slice of the market, up 3.6pp. Again, the Jaecoo 7 has helped this growth, with 19.8% of the PHEV market. The SUV held second in the best-seller table, behind the Ford Puma. Combining PHEV and BEV figures, the EV market saw a 31.7% rise in March, with 135,791 units. This was enough for a 35.7% market share, a rise of 6.8pp year on year. After three months, EV figures had improved by 24.4%, with 216,280 deliveries. The powertrain group took a 35.2% hold of total registrations. ICE remains strong While electrified models continue to see volume increases, deliveries of petrol and diesel cars suffered in monthly registration figures. Despite this, petrol remained the dominant force in the UK market during March. The fuel type saw 165,997 units delivered to customers, a drop of 6.1% compared to the same month last year. Having seen a rare increase in volumes during February, this result was a return to a regular trend of decline. Yet the powertrain still held 43.6% of the market. While this was a drop of 5.9pp, petrol remained 21pp ahead of its nearest challenger, BEVs. Registrations of petrol-powered cars declined by 3.5% in the first quarter, with 276,689 units. Despite this, the technology still held 45% of the market, a 4.4pp drop. Diesel popularity continued to wane, with March seeing figures fall by 11.4% to 18,571 units. This was only good enough for a 4.9% share of the market, down from the 5.9% recorded a year prior. Between January and March, diesel deliveries totalled 30,513 units, down 9.8%, equating to a share of just 5%. Combining the powertrains, ICE registrations dropped 6.7% in the month with 184,568 units. This was good enough for a 48.5% share of total deliveries, falling behind the electrified market for the first time in 2026. This means that after the first quarter, both ICE and electrified groups shared a 50% hold of the UK new-car market. With 307,202 registrations, the combined petrol and diesel grouping suffered a 4.2% delivery decline year-on-year. HEV pulls ahead in UK hybrid race HEVs continued to be the third-best powertrain in the UK during March. Its 60,268 registrations were enough for a 7.3% increase compared to the same period last year. However, its 15.8% market share was up just 0.1pp compared to March 2025. After the first quarter, the powertrain has seen a 6.2% rise in volumes, with 91,372 deliveries. This was good enough for a 14.9% slice of overall new-car registrations. Yet with stronger growth for PHEVs and BEVs, the powertrain’s market share only rose by 0.1pp year on year. The unit gap between HEVs and PHEVs has risen, thanks to the better volume total in March for full hybrids. But with plug-in hybrids increasing in popularity, the technology could close the gap in the coming months.
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The Automotive Update: Market conditions impact 2026 new EV forecast

As oil and gas prices rise, what effect will this have on global light-vehicle sales? Will electric vehicles (EVs) be able to take advantage of recent geopolitical changes? Autovista24 journalist Tom Hooker and special content editor Phil Curry explore the latest insights from Neil King, head of forecasting at EV Volumes, in the Automotive Update podcast. In this episode, the latest EV Volumes forecast is reviewed. Autovista24 special content editor Phil Curry provides insights from King, including a global EV market outlook alongside regional projections.  Subscribe to the Autovista24 podcast and listen to previous episodes on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music. Global EV forecast downgraded With a quarter of 2026 having passed, the latest forecast from EV Volumes shows that growth in the global light-vehicle market will slow. Geopolitical developments mean deliveries could remain stable this year, while the share of EVs is expected to increase modestly. According to the latest data, combined sales of passenger cars and light-commercial vehicles will increase by just 0.4% globally this year. This is down from the previous update, which assumed a 2.7% rise in volumes across 2026. With increased living costs and the rising price of oil and gas, household purchasing power is being eroded. Companies are also being forced to delay investments, amid uncertainty over how long energy prices will remain elevated. This means vehicle renewal is being placed further down the list of priorities. EVs, including battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), are predicted to make up 24.7% of light-vehicle sales in 2026. This is down by 2.8pp compared to the previous forecast released at the end of 2025. In total, around 22.7 million electric models are expected to take to roads around the world. This would represent modest growth of just 5% year on year. This would outpace the projected overall light-vehicle growth in 2026. However, it would also mark a lower rise following the 21.9% gain in 2025. With governments in larger markets phasing out purchase incentives and tax breaks, a slowdown is likely this year.  The EV share is forecast to increase to 27.4% next year, then rise to 31.8% by the end of 2028. By 2030, EV Volumes predicts that this global share will rise to 40.4%, before hitting 61.1% in 2035, and reaching 80.6% in 2040. Slowing market in Europe The European automotive market has faced turbulent times recently. LCV demand was particularly affected by trade frictions and tariffs in 2025, with the passenger-car market following suit. In addition, continued political uncertainty and rising debt levels curtailed demand in the continent. A wide range of geopolitical changes have caused Europe’s light-vehicle sales forecast for 2026 to be downgraded. EV Volumes believes that light-vehicle sales in Western and Central Europe will rise by a modest 0.1% this year, a drop of 1.6pp against the December 2025 forecast. At around 15.1 million units, this is far below the 18 million light vehicles registered in 2019. Moreover, it is not expected that the European market will return to that level before 2040. The market is projected to improve by 1.4% in 2027. This increase hinges on a complex mix of regulatory and economic factors. A similar rise is expected in 2028. More to come from EVs This year, the EV market is expected to continue expanding, as Germany reintroduces incentives, while Spain also pushes forward with its Auto+ Plan. Additionally, Chinese carmakers are strengthening their footprint on the continent, appealing especially in price-sensitive markets. EV sales are expected to grow 16.7% this year to 4.7 million units, taking a 31.3% share of all deliveries. BEV volumes are forecast to grow 18.4% year-on-year, accounting for 69% of EV sales in 2026. Meanwhile, PHEV sales are expected to increase by 13%. With new model launches, lower prices, and tightening EU emissions targets, EV volumes will continue to increase in the coming years. The market share of EVs will sit at 37.4% next year, rising to 43.8% in 2028. The EU’s Automotive Package, which introduces a revised CO2 reduction pathway and compliance mechanisms, has altered the EV Volumes forecast. Assuming its full implementation, EVs are expected to account for 57.3% of light-vehicle sales by 2030. This rises to 84.2% by 2035, and reaches 95.5% in 2040. These projections assume emissions balancing between 2030 and 2032 and continued alignment of national policies. Several markets are expected to maintain stricter targets. The UK is currently committed to a new-car petrol and diesel ban in 2030, with zero-emission only sales from 2035. EV popularity struggles in Northern America In the Northern American market, 2025 sales were affected by multiple factors. This included the impact of EV tax credits ending in the US and manufacturers' decisions to amend plans for all-electric models. With new global inflation pressures and continuing weak vehicle demand in the region, EV Volumes forecasts that overall light-vehicle sales will decline 1.9% this year. In total, 17.8 million vehicles will be sold. Deliveries of EVs are also expected to drop by 8.1% in 2026. This comes as Canada has recently shifted its EV strategy, removing the 100% import tariff on Chinese-made models. Additionally, 49,000 units are now allowed to enter the market under a new arrangement. At the same time, the Electric Vehicle Affordability Program has been introduced in 2026 in Canada. The country has also seen stricter emissions standards replace the former EV sales mandate. These require carmakers to meet progressively tighter fleet‑wide pollution limits. In the US, California is exploring a new EV incentive program to fill the policy gap after federal EV tax credits expired in 2025. Some consumers have also expressed growing interest in more affordable EV options, including Chinese models that remain unavailable due to trade barriers. The combined BEV and PHEV share is now expected to reach 8.9% in Northern America in 2026. EVs in the US are expected to take an 8.7% hold, compared to a 10.2% share in Canada. The Northern American EV share will rise modestly to 10.1% in 2027. This will be mostly supported by Canada and the rollout of more affordable EV models. Shares will increase to 18.9% in 2030, then reach 37.7% in 2035, before rising further to 57% in 2040. This is well below the predicted global EV share of over 80% in that year. Domestic focus for China China’s automotive market saw PHEVs struggle in 2025, while BEVs continued to prove popular. The country’s government is focused on boosting domestic consumption, with support directed towards state-owned manufacturers. Yet with the March 2026 OECD Interim Economic Outlook projecting 4.4% GDP growth in the country, EV Volumes has downgraded its forecast. New light-vehicle sales are now expected to reach 27 million units, a 1.3% rise year on year. As the country pledges to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, many brands are continuing to launch PHEV and Extended Range Electric Vehicles (EREVs). This comes as BEVs are regaining momentum in China, bolstered by discounting strategies. As such, BEVs are forecast to account for 62.9% of EV sales in 2026, increasing to around 70% in 2030. In total, EVs are forecast to represent 50.2% of all light-vehicle sales in 2026, a 0.8pp drop from their 2025 share. This is projected to rise to 72.1% in 2030, before achieving an 84.7% share in 2035. In 2040, the EV hold is expected to widen to 91.1%. Policy plans in non-Triad regions With the increase in global energy and oil prices, the March 2026 OECD Interim Economic Outlook projects slower growth for major non‑Triad automotive markets. This includes countries such as Brazil, South Korea, and India. Alongside this, persistent energy‑price pressures are weighing more heavily on demand. Therefore, the light-vehicle forecast for 2026 has been revised down to growth of 1.1%. With various countries and governments implementing regulations and aid for EVs, the share in this market grouping will rise. Currently, it is estimated that electric models will make up 8.9% of the market in 2026. This would be a 1.8pp improvement from 2025. However, budget constraints driven by economic concerns may limit future incentives and/or tax breaks. Additionally, several countries have introduced, or plan to implement, new tariffs on imported vehicles. The EV share in the non-Triad region is projected to reach 17% in 2030, before increasing to 41.8% in 2035, and 76.8% in 2040. This means the combined EV share of non-Triad markets would surpass Northern America in 2034.
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Spain sees another month of high new-car market growth

The Spanish new-car market continues to impress, with genuine growth across the first quarter of the year. But as the country waits for new incentives, how are powertrains performing? Autovista24 special content editor Phil Curry examines the market. Spain’s new-car market continued its upward trajectory in March, with registrations increasing once again. Last month, 130,340 new passenger models took to the country’s roads, according to ANFAC. This marked an increase of 11.7% compared to the same month in 2025. Heading into this year, Spain had a lot of expectations placed upon it. This was because it saw the greatest year-on-year growth out of Europe’s ‘big five’ automotive markets in 2025. This includes Germany, the UK, France and Italy. However, some of the country’s performances in the first part of 2025 were based on inflated and unnatural market growth. This included vehicle replacements after severe storms and flooding in 2024. Yet deliveries continue to power ahead this year. ‘March once again demonstrates the strong state of the market. We surpassed 130,000 sales, a figure higher than the sales for the same month in 2019,’ highlighted Félix García, director of communications and marketing at ANFAC.  ‘Even if we were to remove the impact of the DANA storm from the March 2025 sales figures, the growth would be even greater. This makes us optimistic for the end of the year. If this trend continues, we would be at around 1.2 million sales for the year’ The strong results are even more impressive considering the confusion around the country’s electric vehicle (EV) incentives programme. The previous MOVES III scheme ended in December 2025, according to RACE. It is being replaced by the Auto+ programme under the Auto 2030 Plan, effective from January 2026, according to Spain’s Ministry of Industry and Tourism. While €400 million in funding has already been allocated, the scheme is yet to be implemented. So, drivers are buying EVs ahead of applying for retroactive funding. Despite the confusion surrounding EV incentives, March was the third consecutive month of overall new-car registrations improvement in Spain. The result means that after the first quarter of the year, 300,513 new cars have made their way to owners, a rise of 7.6%. BEVs drive market in Spain While buyers await the implementation of Spain’s new incentives, the impact on the battery-electric vehicle (BEV) market has been slight. In March, 11,861 new all-electric models made it to the country’s roads, a rise of 46.4% year on year. This was the best increase of 2026 so far, although only up on February’s improvement by one percentage point (pp). The result gave BEVs a 9.1% market share, increasing by 2.2pp compared to March 2025, according to Autovista24 calculations. The run of strong double-digit increases in the Spanish BEV market suggests there is still an appetite for all-electric models. Buyers can purchase now and retroactively apply for subsidies, and this seems enough to keep the market momentum moving. Across the first quarter of 2026, BEV deliveries increased by 41.6%, with 27,223* units making their way to customers. This translated to a 9.1% market share, an increase of 2.2pp year on year. The implementation of the Auto 2030 plan could trigger a short-term increase in BEV deliveries. This happened in early 2025, when Spain reinstated the previous MOVES III scheme. However, just like in 2026, the government extended the programme with retroactive eligibility. This helped to sustain demand that had already been building amid uncertainty over incentive continuity. PHEVs continue to impress Spain’s standout performance, in terms of volume growth, once again went to plug-in hybrids (PHEVs). With a 77.5% increase compared to March 2025, the 14,859 units recorded was the powertrain’s best total of the quarter. This represented an 11.4% share of total deliveries, a rise of 4.2pp, according to Autovista24 calculations. PHEVs have proven to be a popular choice in Spain. Deliveries continue to grow, as does the powertrain’s market share. The technology was the third most popular in March, after hybrid and petrol engines, while remaining ahead of BEVs. After three months of the year, PHEV registrations were up 74%, as 35,693 units left dealerships. This has given the powertrain 11.9% of the market, up 4.6pp compared to the first quarter of 2025. Combining BEV and PHEV deliveries, the EV market saw registrations rise by 62.2% in March, with 26,720 deliveries. This was good enough for a 20.5% market share. In the first quarter, the group saw volumes improve by 58.3% with 62,916 units. This presented EVs with a 20.9% market share, according to Autovista24 analysis. Hybrids rule in Spain Meanwhile, the hybrid market, made up of full and mild hybrid powertrains, continues to lead. In March, it was responsible for 47.5% of total registrations, a rise of 5.4pp year on year. In the month, 61,938 units were handed over to customers, a rise of 26.2%. This was the best performance of the year for the technology in terms of volume and growth. Between January and March, hybrid volumes grew by 18.6%, with 144,126 models delivered. This gave the powertrain a 48% hold of the market total, up 4.5pp year on year. Adding hybrids to the EV market, total electrified registrations totalled 88,657 units in March. This equated to a rise of 35.2% compared to the same period last year. After three months, electrified registrations totalled 207,041 units, an increase of 28.4%, according to Autovista24 calculations. Petrol declines continue While electrified registrations soared, March saw another month of declines for internal combustion engine (ICE) models. Petrol deliveries fell by 14.9% in the month, with 32,728 units delivered. This was the smallest percentage decrease of the first quarter, but still represented 5,738 fewer models, according to Autovista24 calculations. Despite the decline, the fuel type was still the second-best choice in the country, with a 25.1% market share. This alone was 4.6pp ahead of the combined EV market. In the first quarter, petrol registrations fell by 18.2%, with 71,794 deliveries. This was still good enough for a 23.9% market share, according to Autovista24 calculations. Yet the steep declines across the three-month period meant this share fell by 7.5pp. Meanwhile, diesel deliveries dropped 23.6% in March, although this was on a smaller volume of 4,705 registrations. The fuel type recorded its lowest market share in 2026, with 3.6%. This was down 1.7pp year on year. In the first quarter, diesel volumes were down 26.7%, with 11,931 registrations. The powertrain took a 4% share of the total volume in the period, a drop of 1.8pp. ICE gap closes in Spain Combining petrol and diesel, the ICE market struggled in March with a 16.1% fall, as 37,434 units made their way to customers. The technology recorded a 28.7% hold of the monthly total. However, this marked a drop of 9.5pp year on year, according to Autovista24 analysis. This share was 8.2pp higher than that of EVs. While there is a distance between the two powertrain groups, this gap has dropped from 24.1pp recorded in the third month of 2025. In the first three months of 2026, ICE registrations fell by 19.5%, with 83,726 combined deliveries. The technology’s share of 27.9% was 9.3pp down year on year. However, ICE was still ahead of EVs by 7pp. This gap fell from 23pp recorded after three months of 2025. An older fleet While the country waits for the Auto 2030 Plan to be implemented, there may be a natural push towards electrification. High oil prices are causing increased fuel costs in much of Europe, and Spain is no exception. This could impact the market. The country’s car parc is predominantly made up of older vehicles, which are less fuel-efficient. Should the situation continue, it could mean drivers look to swap their older models for newer ones. ‘What is already clearly having an impact is the increase in fuel prices, and it is affecting the weakest segment of the market. This is cars over 10 years old, which are less efficient and have higher running costs,’ commented Raúl Morales, communications director of dealership group FACONAUTO. ‘In fact, we estimate that if this situation continues over the next 12 months, these vehicles will face an additional fuel cost of around €4 billion,’ he outlined. Meanwhile, Spain’s Sustainable Mobility Law entered into force in December 2025, as reported by DLA Piper. This establishes a broad framework to promote low-emission transport. ‘Decarbonising is not just about electrification. Considering the age of the vehicle fleet, which has already reached 14.6 years, there is an urgent need to complement the demand-boosting strategy with the development of the national renewal plan,’ said Tania Puche, communications director at GANVAM. ‘This was contemplated in the Sustainable Mobility Law, which is already a month behind schedule,’ she concluded. *Editor's note: This article has been corrected since publication, with the number of BEVs registered in the first quarter 27,223, not 27,273 as previously stated.
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What is an infotainment system?

Technological advances have rendered older in-car entertainment systems effectively obsolete. Now, carmakers combine entertainment and information as a central point of interior design. Autovista24 special content editor Phil Curry examines the rise of the infotainment system. The rapid development of technology has replaced in-vehicle cassette and CD players with new systems. While music streaming meant losing bulky radio units, the need to display more driver information required bigger screens.   By combining information and entertainment, the infotainment system has been a step forward for interior vehicle design and functionality. These systems are now a staple of modern cars, but some developments have been a cause for concern.  https://youtu.be/yVLCP0bfm-0 Growth of the infotainment system  With the development of touchscreen technology, integrating displays into vehicles for data and control access is a logical step. These screens provide more than just music playback. They also offer access to a wide range of systems.  These displays can provide navigation, views from external-facing cameras, as well as battery charge and health in electric vehicles (EVs). Many also feature Bluetooth connection for calls and smartphone integration. This allows users to bring their own music, apps and personal settings into the car.   Meanwhile, the infotainment system can act as a control location for certain vehicle functions. Menus and sub-menus provide detailed access to advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), vehicle customisation, driver profiles, and more.  Some carmakers have even opted to reduce or remove physical buttons for certain systems. This produces a cleaner and sleeker interior design, but can also lead to potential safety issues.  Are screens a distraction?  The ability of an infotainment system to house various vehicle controls can free up space inside a car. However, with some controls buried in sub-menus, out of easy reach of the driver, there are concerns around distraction.  Climate control, driving profiles, heated seats, and regenerative braking levels in EVs can be reduced from physical to digital buttons. But searching for these settings on a touchscreen can mean less focus on the road.   Research published by  TRL, on behalf of safety charity IAM Roadsmart in 2020, highlighted these concerns. Findings showed that driving performance was more negatively impacted when using touch controls compared with voice control.   Study participants were able to keep their eyes on the road more when using voice control than touch control. They were also more likely to identify stimuli that required attention. Despite this, most participants in the study reported using touch rather than voice control in their real-world driving.  Ensuring infotainment system safety  The concerns over driver distraction have led to Euro NCAP making a button-based request of carmakers for 2026. The safety body is asking manufacturers to either offer physical controls or dedicate a fixed portion of the cabin display to primary driving functions. This includes the horn, indicators, hazard lights, windscreen wipers and headlights.   So, the road ahead looks to be a matter of balance when it comes to infotainment systems. The technology will still need to support an increasing number of vehicle capabilities while also meeting higher consumer expectations. However, this will need to be levelled with control accessibility and driver attention.   
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The Automotive Update: What fleets learnt about electromobility at Flotte

Fleets flocked to Flotte in Germany, with industry experts taking to the stage to share vital insights. Autovista24 editor Tom Geggus finds out what happened at the event in the latest Automotive Update podcast. In this episode, Dr Christof Engelskirchen, chief economist and director of professional services, Europe, JD Power, shared his Flotte insights. This includes electrification, the role of fleets, and the opportunities and risks for these businesses. Subscribe to the Autovista24 podcast and listen to previous episodes on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music. Fleets and Flotte Taking place between 25 and 26 March in Düsseldorf, Germany, Flotte welcomes Germany’s fleet industry experts and decision makers. Among them was a team from JD Power, including Dr Christof Engelskirchen, who gave a presentation at Flotte. His session was titled ‘E-mobility in the headwinds – fleets as a beacon of hope and risk factor’. Speaking with Autovista24 editor Tom Geggus, he outlined some of the major points from this presentation. Of all the topics that could be presented to a room full of fleet professionals, one stood out: electrification. Fleets play an important role in the push towards electric vehicles, while the technology presents big risks and opportunities. Fleets behind the steering wheel In major EU new-car markets, electrification continues to be a subject in the headlights. Battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) currently make up under 30% of new-car registrations in each of Germany, France, Italy and Spain, according to ACEA. ‘That is a long way to go when you consider what the EU has been prescribing, which used to be a 100% tailpipe CO2 emission reduction by 2035 and is now becoming a 90% reduction,’ Engelskirchen said. ‘So, we have that gap that needs to be bridged.’ One of the biggest markets in the region, contributing heavily to the powertrain development, is Germany. With a large fleet industry making a significant proportion of registrations, these businesses will be vital to electrification. Weighing things up at Flotte There are sizeable opportunities for fleets within this transformation. Engelskirchen outlined that one of the biggest opportunities is the additional volume that is running through leasing companies and banks. Other buyers, such as private consumers and other companies, may not want to hold BEV asset risks. But this is not a result of disliking the powertrain. It is because it is not their core business to manage asset risks. Instead, this is the business of banks and leasing companies, Engelskirchen outlined. Leasing companies are now shifting their portfolios from what was 95% internal-combustion engine vehicles towards a greater balance. By 2035, it is conceivable that these fleets will have changed massively in favour of BEVs. However, this transition brings about its own risks. ‘You do need to get your head around the different residual value and depreciation profiles of electric vehicles. It is very dynamic,’ said Engelskirchen. ‘It certainly requires additional variables to consider in your risk management.’
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Have fears of an EU new-car market slump eased?

A challenging start to the year for the EU’s new-car market was tempered in February. However, a return to growth was offset by a wider slowdown. So, which countries and powertrains enjoyed growth? Autovista24 web editor James Roberts investigates the latest data. In February, the EU’s new-car market returned to growth. According to ACEA, a total of 865,437 new passenger cars were registered. This equated to a volume rise of 1.4%, following on from January’s 3.9% decline. Two months into 2026, the EU new-car market fell by 1.2% overall. A total of 1,664,680 new units were registered across member states. Regional new-car market growth In total, 20 nations witnessed new-car market growth in February. Of the big four EU markets, Italy enjoyed the most significant improvement at 14%. This was underpinned by a significant electric vehicle (EV) volume increase, including battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs). The latent impact of 2025’s incentives played a sizeable part in this trend. Spain’s new-car demand continued to prove positive, albeit slightly muted compared with previous months. Buoyed by continued strong EV demand, overall volumes increased by 7.5% year on year. Meanwhile, the bloc’s largest market, Germany, returned a solid 3.8% market growth in February. France continued a distinctly negative trend. Despite relatively strong increases in BEV deliveries, registrations fell across hybrid, petrol and diesel variants. This dragged the market to a sizeable 14.7% decline. Poland continued its EV-driven trend of prosperity. The EU’s fifth-largest market enjoyed a 6% upswing. In percentage terms, Estonia has rebounded from significant declines in 2025 to an 82.4% lift in its new-car market fortunes. This meant 1,138 new cars were delivered in February. Other notable slumps occurred in the Netherlands, which witnessed a 19% dive in new-car deliveries. This was triggered by a double-digit drop in petrol and BEV figures, as hybrid registrations also dipped. However, this can be skewed by the country’s relatively large company car market. Neighbouring Belgium saw deliveries fall across all powertrains except petrol. This resulted in a 7.7% year-on-year slide as the country’s market continued to decline. PHEVs proving popular in EV push Total new EV registrations, combining BEV and PHEV volumes, amounted to 242,052 in February. This ensured a 28% share of the overall EU market, up 5.2 percentage points (pp), according to Autovista24 calculations. BEV registrations in the EU increased by 20.6% with 158,280 units leaving dealerships in the month. In total, 22 nations saw all-electric registration increases. This resulted in all-electric cars accounting for 18.3% of all new-car deliveries in the EU, an increase of 2.9pp year on year. Meanwhile, PHEVs accounted for 9.7% of the overall EU new-car market. This was enabled by a sizeable 32.1% volume increase compared with February 2025. ACEA stated that the powertrain’s popularity underlines ‘the importance of a technology-neutral pathway to decarbonisation.’ In some of the EU’s largest markets, PHEV demand helped boost overall plug-in totals. Italy led the way in February with triple-digit PHEV increases amounting to 101.7%. This was coupled with a healthy 81.3% surge in year-on-year BEV demand. This trend was echoed in Spain. Amid a new national incentive framework, PHEV popularity increased 75.2%, while BEVs improved by 45.4%. However, local industry bodies exercised caution when considering the longer-term impact as new legislation takes shape. New purchase incentives in Germany seemingly boosted the overall market in February. The EU’s bellwether market saw BEV and PHEV volumes grow by 28.7% and 24.5% respectively. EV uptake in France exposed the nation’s wider new-car market contradictions. Despite a 27.8% increase in BEV volumes and a 3.2% lift for PHEVs, the wider market fell thanks to lower internal-combustion engine (ICE) deliveries. Denmark’s new-car market BEV boost February saw Denmark consolidate its position as an EU BEV market leader. The country saw 9,736 new BEVs take to the country’s roads, according to ACEA. Conversely, its PHEV volumes declined by 60.9%. Hybrids, made up of mild and full-hybrid powertrains, took at 19.8% tumble, and petrol plummeted by 72%. Despite this, the overall new-car market grew by 2.8%, suggesting that, unlike other markets, BEV growth can support wider market prosperity. Poland continued to return impressive EV numbers in February. BEV volumes increased 12.9% year on year, while PHEVs improved by 90.3%. The country’s NaszEauto incentives programme has boosted registrations since 2024. The sustained growth of the sector explains the relatively low double-digit year-on-year increases in February, after triple-digit monthly trends. Despite being a smaller EU new-car market, Croatia recorded notable EV growth in February. The country’s BEV sector witnessed a 217.7% surge, while PHEV popularity increased 140%. Overall, the country saw year-on-year gains of 14.7% with 4,869 units registered. EU hybrid hegemony continues in February In the month, 334,791 new hybrid vehicles took to the EU’s roads. This marked a 10.1% year-on-year upswing, plus a dominant 38.7% market share, up 3pp. Adding hybrid volumes to BEV and PHEV registrations provided a total electrified vehicle figure of 576,843 passenger cars. This secured 66.7% of the EU new-car market in February, an increase of 8.2pp Germany, Italy and Spain all saw hybrid delivery growth in February. Most notable was Italy, where 81,799 new passenger cars underpinned a year-on-year uplift of 33.9%. In the year to date, Italy boasts the highest number of new hybrid registrations at 156,215 units. In France, a lacklustre month for hybrids added to overall new-car market volume woes. Despite the EV volume rise, the nation’s hybrid market contracted by 7.2% with 57,670 deliveries. Aligned with significant falls in ICE uptake, this is harming overall growth. ICE versus EVs In February, total new ICE registrations, combining petrol and diesel models, reached 270,276 units. This continued a trend of decline with a volume drop of 16.6%. Accordingly, a year-on-year market share fall of 6.8pp to 31.2% followed. Two months into 2026, the overall petrol and diesel market share stood at 30.6%. This was 1.9pp above the EV share. At the end of January, the gap was just 1pp, suggesting the electric market will have to push hard to overtake ICE this year. In February, petrol remained a resilient new-car choice. The fuel type held on to a 23.1% market share, albeit down 5.4pp. This was despite a sizeable 17.9% volume decline. This was still the second-best-selling powertrain in the EU, with 199,910 deliveries. In total, 10 nations saw year-on-year increases in new petrol car registrations. Meanwhile, new diesel registrations in February amounted to 70,366 passenger cars across the EU. This signalled a 12.8% fall, securing an 8.1% market share, down 1.3pp. The fuel type saw year-on-year declines in all but 11 member states.
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The Automotive Update: The changing fortunes of Chinese and European EV markets

How did the Chinese and European electric vehicle (EV) markets perform at the start of 2026? Plus, which manufacturers are speeding up plug-in vehicle charging? Tom Hooker, Autovista24 journalist, presents the latest episode of the Automotive Update. In this episode, Autovista24 looks at the varying performances of the Chinese and European EV markets. Plus, how are carmakers speeding up EV charging? Also, an insight into which manufacturers are turning to robotics and AI for use in their production lines. Subscribe to the Autovista24 podcast and listen to previous episodes on Spotify, Apple and Amazon Music. China sees EV struggles China’s EV market recorded a decline of 27.1% in January, according to the latest data from EV Volumes. Both the plug-in hybrid (PHEV) and battery-electric vehicle (BEV) sectors saw sales decline year on year. The results were reflected in the best-seller tables, where mainstream models struggled. The Xiaomi YU7 was the leading BEV in January, with a dominant display. It  was some way ahead of the second-placed Nio ES8. The Tesla Model Y finished third. Meanwhile, the PHEV table saw BYD dominance slip away. Leading the charge was the Fang Chen Bao Tai 7, a BYD sub-brand and model. It was ahead of the Aito M7, while the BYD Song Pro finished third in the month. Europe’s EV market on a high Conversely, Europe’s EV sales grew, according to EV Volumes data. Sales were up 19.2% overall in January, with both BEVs and PHEVs seeing increases. PHEVs posted a 33.5% rise, while BEV deliveries increased by 12.7%. The Skoda Elroq was Europe’s best-selling BEV in January. It was followed by the combined results of the Renault 5 and Alpine A290, with the Tesla Model Y in third. In the PHEV market, two Chinese models led the way. The BYD Seal U came first, ahead of the Jaecoo J7. Both PHEVs were well ahead of the Volvo XC60 in third place. Even faster battery charging The Denza Z9GT, a model from BYD’s premium marque, is set to arrive in Europe later this year. It could enable quicker charging times of up to 12 minutes. According to Denza, the Z9GT delivers a 10% to 70% charge in only five minutes, and a 10% to 97% refill in just nine minutes. The carmaker also quoted a 20% to 97% recharge in 12 minutes, even in temperatures around -30°C. Meanwhile, Chery has revealed its all-solid-state battery that can achieve a range of over 1,500km, Electrek reported. A robotic future? Renault is using an AI-trained humanoid robot, called Calvin, to help it build cars. It was developed by French robotic firm Wandercraft. Renault plans to roll out a further 350 humanoid robots over the next 18 months, according to Auto Express. This comes as carmakers increasingly identify automation and robotics investment as a key response to rising costs and competitive pressures. A recent survey by ABB robotics revealed that 31% of vehicle manufacturers and suppliers felt this way.
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Is a UK ZEV mandate review imminent?

The UK’s zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate is scheduled for review. But with other countries amending their policies, will the UK’s targets be amended sooner, or later? Autovista24 special content editor Phil Curry reports on SMMT Electrified 2026. The UK automotive industry needs a review of the ZEV mandate, otherwise it could fall behind in the electrification race. That was the main message from the recent SMMT Electrified conference. Held in London’s QEII Centre, the event brought together automotive industry executives, regulators and suppliers. They discussed the current state of the UK’s electric vehicle (EV) market. The conference followed shifting emissions policies in Europe and the dropping of mandated targets in Canada. Meanwhile, the UK Government remains committed to the ZEV mandate. This is despite overall battery-electric vehicle (BEV) registrations failing to meet the 2024 or 2025 targets. The cost of reaching targets The ZEV mandate calls on carmakers to meet an increasing share target of zero-emission models in their annual registrations. It first came into effect in 2024, with a 22% requirement for passenger cars. This increased to 28% for 2025, while the target is 33% next year. This increases annually, reaching 80% by 2030. However, the biggest jump in the requirement comes between 2027 and 2028, with a 14 percentage point rise in the target, to 52%. The Department for Transport (DfT) released a report on the morning of the conference. It highlighted that all carmakers had complied with the ZEV mandate in 2024. Manufacturers had used conversion flexibility, while also borrowing future credits, with some banked for future years. However, SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes highlighted the costs that the industry faced in meeting ZEV mandate targets. ‘Non-compliance is not an option, but compliance comes at a massive cost,’ he told journalists, including Autovista24, during a press conference prior to the event. ‘In the first two years of the mandate, carmakers have spent up to £10 billion (€11.6 billion) in discounting on BEVs. That is in addition to the billions spent on new products, new technologies, and so forth. SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes ‘In 2025, the average discount on a BEV model was £11,000. However, the payment for non-compliance to the ZEV mandate is £12,000 per model. Compliance comes with a tremendous cost, either in incentives, fines, or the need to purchase trading credits. ‘Therefore, while the DfT report shows that carmakers have met the requirements of the mandate in 2024, compliance does not necessarily mean that the mandate is deliverable,’ he stated. Further ZEV mandate challenges One issue impacting BEV uptake appears to be costs for consumers. The technology has long been touted as a more affordable alternative to petrol and diesel in terms of use. However, there is often a cost difference between charging domestically and using public plug-in points. In addition, the implementation of vehicle excise duty (VED) last year increased costs. A pay-per-mile scheme, known as eVED, for BEVs and plug-in hybrids was also announced in 2026. This is set to be introduced in 2028, at a point when the ZEV mandate target is set to jump. For carmakers, this could be a problem. The affordability of BEVs will be reduced, but the requirement for carmakers will leap forward. ‘Additionally, the flexibilities introduced last year will expire from 2029,’ added Hawes. ‘I do not know of anyone in the industry who thinks we will get to 80% of ZEVs by 2030. Beyond that, we still have a lack of clarity. ‘We have neither the regulation nor the certainty about exactly which technologies can be sold. But what we do know is the gap between ambition and demand is too great. The UK's attractiveness, not just as a market, but as a manufacturing location, evaporates. De-carbonisation, if we get this wrong, can mean de-industrialisation.’ Good intentions of the ZEV mandate Hawes stated that the UK’s automotive industry is committed to reducing emissions and working towards net-zero. ‘But sometimes, to reach a destination, you have to take a diversion. When the facts change, you have to adapt,’ he continued. ‘When the ZEV mandate was conceived, the world was a different place,’ Hawes stated. In line with statistics published by the SMMT during the event, he outlined that battery costs were 30% higher in 2025 than anticipated in 2021. Meanwhile, BEVs were 17% more expensive within the same timeframe. In addition, industrial energy costs were 80% higher than expected, Hawes stated. The costs of public EV charging at 50kW points were 120% higher than thought when the ZEV mandate was first discussed, he added. ‘We need it reviewed now and resolved now. Without change, the sector, the economy, mobility and decarbonisation itself are in jeopardy. So, government needs to be bold enough to lead the change to make sure that we have a system that is fit for the future,’ he concluded. Carmakers back early review The ZEV mandate issue remained a constant throughout SMMT Electrified 2026. Carmakers in attendance also backed the need for a review of the current strategy. ‘The ZEV mandate needs to be more aligned to where consumer demand is. Investment is so heavy in the market, then some of the vehicles sold will be loss-making. If you are in that scenario, and you are forced to increase supply as the ZEV mandate does, then that calls investments into question,’ highlighted Eurig Druce, SVP, group managing director at Stellantis UK. ‘If you cannot make a return on investment in a country, then the ability of a company to invest and create the growth that the government is looking for is absent. Therefore, we need to make some quick decisions, and a review next year is too late. We need a review now, to help us make the right decisions on investments,’ he continued. From left to right: Patrick McGillycuddy, managing director at JLR UK, Richard Finchett, deputy managing director at Toyota Manufacturing UK, Nicole Melillo Shaw, Managing Director at Volvo Car UK, Eurig Druce, SVP, group managing director at Stellantis UK But while development of BEVs continues, the route of discounting is not one that carmakers want to be going down. ‘We put a lot of investment into developing and building the advanced technology in BEVs. The last thing anyone wants to do is bring out a car with that much investment, and then start discounting from the beginning. It is unsustainable. So I think we need to make sure that we are allowing for demand to catch up with supply,’ pointed out Nicole Melillo Shaw, managing director at Volvo Cars UK. A different approach Patrick McGillyCuddy, managing director at JLR UK, further underlined the issue of confusion among consumers. ‘We have a very ambitious ZEV mandate, and then we have the eVED, which is proposed to come at a critical time in that journey,’ he said. ‘This causes confusion, and consumers will hesitate. Then we hesitate, and you get an uncertain environment. We produce most of our vehicles in the UK for global export, therefore we have to recognise that different parts of the world are moving at a different pace,’ he added. Ford Motor Company chair and managing director, Lisa Brankin, also brought up the issue during a candid fireside chat. ‘When it comes to a review, the government needs to consider the customer in two areas. They need to knock down the barriers to entry, but also understand and prevent confusing messages. ‘Last year, for example, we had the launch of the Electric Car Grant incentive scheme. That helped drive sales forward. But a few months later, there was the announcement of eVED. The two messages did not align, so the government really needs to be mindful of what it is saying if the end goal is electrification,’ she said. Failure from success Brankin also highlighted how the ZEV mandate directed focus away from Ford’s achievements in 2025. Instead, it suggested failure in the company’s performance, she explained. From left to right: Lisa Brankin, chair and managing director, Ford Motor Company, Katie Derham, host and broadcaster ‘Our sales grew by 20% in 2025, which was a great success. But we count it as a failure as we got to just under 24% of the fleet being ZEVs, when the target in the mandate was 28%. We are moving in the right direction, but not meeting targets,’ she stated ‘We have invested heavily in our facilities in Europe to build EVs, but we are having to discount heavily to meet targets. We may also be forcing people into vehicles that maybe they do not necessarily want, or maybe are not appropriate for them,’ she said. Brankin also pointed to the changes in other ZEV policies that have taken place around the world. ‘Canada has made a change, and our closest partners in the EU have already made adjustments. That was carried out in a matter of months rather than over a longer period. So, I would say to the UK government to get on with it, start the review, decide, and make the announcement this year,’ she continued. Government committed to 2027 ZEV mandate review Taking to the stage at SMMT Electrified 2026, Keir Mather MP, minister for Aviation, Maritime and Decarbonisation, spoke of the success of the UK’s EV market. He highlighted that the country had the largest BEV share of Europe’s major economies, as a result of ambition, partnership and investment. Autovista24 analysis shows that in 2025, the UK saw its BEV share reach 23.9%, with 473,348 units. While this share was higher than the 19.1% achieved in the closest market, Germany, the volume of BEVs was lower. In 2025, the country saw 545,142 units delivered. Mather also stated that the EV transition in the UK is being backed by tens of billions of pounds in public and private investment. But he acknowledged that the ZEV mandate is potentially a challenge for the industry. ‘Is [the ZEV mandate] ambitious? Yes, of course it is, and we as government are committed to giving you the tools you need to make it happen. The industry successfully complied with the 2024 target, using the flexibilities built into the mandate, and provisional 2025 data also looks promising,’ he commented. ‘We are committed to publish a review of the mandate early in 2027, and we are listening, and we are engaging with stakeholders across the industry.’ When asked about the potential for an early review, as called for throughout the conference, Mather stated: ‘Work on the review needs to begin this year. But early 2027, we feel, is the right point to make sure that we can see properly where the pressure points lie in this ZEV mandate and make sure that it continues to work for manufacturers.’
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Is Italy’s new-car market on the road to success in 2026?

As increased carmaker competition starts to make waves in Italy’s new-car market, February’s data revealed a strong start to 2026. But which brands and powertrains are pushing things forward, and can this relative prosperity continue? James Roberts, Autovista24 web editor, finds out. In February, 157,317 new cars were registered in Italy. This resulted in a year-on-year volume increase of 14.1%, according to ANFIA data. This ensured a third month of consecutive growth. Across the first two months of 2026, a total of 299,308 new cars took to Italy’s roads. This marked a 10.2% lift, helped by a strong showing from electrified powertrains. Despite volumes remaining below pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels, the market shows promise following a difficult 2025. EV sales prove strong in February February saw 25,151 new EVs, including battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), registered in Italy. This resulted in a significant 91.5% year-on-year uptick. There was little to split BEV and PHEV popularity in February. All-electric sales amounted to 12,541 units, while PHEVs accounted for 12,610 vehicles. Both powertrains captured 8% of the monthly market share, respectively. It was PHEVs that saw the biggest year-on-year volume increase, with 102.8% compared to February 2025. However, BEVs were not far behind, with a volume improvement of 81.3%. In the year to date, plug-in hybrids took a larger market share of 8.1%, up 4 percentage points (pp). This was accompanied by a 116.7% boost in registrations across January and February. BEVs, meanwhile, accounted for 7.3% of the market, a 2.3pp increase, with a 61.3% upswing. Combined, EV registrations in Italy made up 16% of the market two months into the year, a 6.5pp improvement. Italy’s EV popularity running on fumes? On the face of it, the year-on-year EV volume gains appear satisfying. However, February’s figures continued to be raised by the incentive programme rolled out in late 2025. All funds were claimed within 24 hours of the scheme going live, with consumers needing to apply before purchase. This influenced January and February’s latent EV bounce. For some industry observers, this is not enough to signal a meaningful tilt towards electrification targets. To continue EV market ascendency, and match larger European markets, wider, more sustained policy initiatives are being called for. ‘Electric [uptake] is growing, but we are still far from the averages of the large markets,’ outlined Roberto Pietrantonio, president of UNRAE. ‘Without a structural and stable strategy, Italy will lose competitiveness and appeal. Those who talk about the failure of the electric sector feed misinformation. The real challenge is to govern the transition with industrial vision and reform courage.’ UNRAE recommended three measures aimed at fostering a more robust path towards electrification. These included improving EV charging infrastructure network as well as hydrogen refuelling. Second, charging tariffs should be more consistent with wholesale energy prices. Third, structural reform of company fleet taxation, which is a major complicating factor for businesses. Cost deductibility, VAT deductibility, and less favourable depreciation rules mean Italy lags behind other major European markets, according to UNRAE. The organisation claimed that reforming these tax policies could encourage companies to renew and electrify fleets. This in turn would speed up the adoption of low and zero-emission vehicles. ‘Clarity is needed,’ UNRAE added. ‘Decarbonisation remains the goal, what is missing is regulatory stability and a multi-year strategy, as in the main European countries, to offer families and businesses a credible horizon.’ Italy’s market disruption Amid February’s relatively strong plug-in demand, one newcomer stormed into the top 10 best-selling model chart: the Leapmotor T03. This small urban BEV shook up the top 10 in February with 4,778 sales, confirmed by ANFIA data. Taking fourth in the month, the T03 sat just behind three top-selling models from the Stellantis stable. Across the first two months of this year, the all-electric model saw 5,727 units delivered to customers. This pushed it to seventh in the overall top 10, ahead of the Renault Clio, the Renault Captur, and the Toyota Yaris. More broadly, Leapmotor enjoyed a 2197.2% year-on-year registration increase in February. This meant that it jumped from 218 unit deliveries in February 2025 to 5,008 one year later. This year, the Chinese OEM‘s lineup in the country will include the T03, the C10 and the B10.   Last year, Leapmotor CEO Zhu Jiangming targeted global sales of one million units in 2026, Reuters reported. On top of this, he eyed four million annual transactions within a decade, with 60% coming from outside of China. It seems Italy is doing its bit to help achieve this goal. Non-domestic brand disruption continues As well as Leapmotor’s increased market influence, other non-European OEMs have started to make considerable waves in Italy. Following a strong start to the year, BYD saw another month of Italian new-car market gains. The Chinese manufacturer recorded 4,110 registrations in February. This was up from 1,349 sales one year prior, ensuring a 204.7% boost. Chery has emerged as a notable disruptor in Italy as well. Its Omoda brand enjoyed a 960.9% rise in registrations, leaping from 523 units in February 2025 to 2,960 one year later. Meanwhile, its sister brand, Jaecoo, saw deliveries increase by 266% with 893 cars sold. Italy’s hybrid domination prevails February saw hybrids account for over half the country’s new-car market. In all, 81,799 units, spanning full and mild versions, left forecourts. This considerable year-on-year volume increase of 33.9% as the powertrain took a 52% market share, up 7.6pp. This dominance was reflected two months into 2026 with 156,215 hybrids joining Italy’s car parc, enabling a 52.2% share. This suggests that hybrid popularity remains prevalent, with EVs struggling to make a dent. Continued hybrid appeal has pushed up the share of electrified registrations in Italy’s new-car market. Adding hybrid volumes to BEV and PHEV totals amounted to 202,427 vehicles across the first two months of the year. This underlined a year-on-year leap of 39.2%. It also provided electrified vehicles with 67.6% of the overall Italian new-car market. This was a considerable 14pp lift compared with the first two months of 2025. Hybrid figures have been the vanguard of this seismic demand for electrified powertrains so far in 2026. Removing hybrids from the electrified figures drops the share to just 32.3%. ICE drops but petrol still second best Internal-combustion engine (ICE) deliveries, including petrol and diesel volumes, continued a pattern of double-digit declines in February. The 42,518 combined sales meant a 14.7% fall and a 27% market share, down 9.1pp. Across January and February, this was reflected in an 18.8% slump and a 36.2% market share. However, despite this continued slide, petrol preference remains a key market force. Despite a 6.9pp year-on-year decline across January and February, petrol held the second-highest market share in Italy at 19.6%. The petrol share was 11.5pp ahead of PHEVs, and 12.3pp above BEVs, providing a further headache for electrification targets. As petrol peters out, diesel continues to fall drastically. February saw 10,603 new diesel vehicles reach customers in Italy. This signalled a 22.5% year-on-year unit drop, leaving the fuel type with a 6.7% market share, down 3.2pp. Including January and February’s figures, diesel sales reached 21,336. This returned a year-on-year volume slide of 19.5% and a market share of 7.1%, down 2.7pp. Despite this, cumulative diesel registrations trailed BEV sales by just 627 after the opening two months of 2026.  
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How AI, data and telematics are transforming commercial vehicle fleet operations

Commercial fleets have access to more accurate data, stronger system integration, and advanced artificial intelligence (AI) applications. How exactly will this improve efficiency and enhance fleet decisions? Autovista24 journalist Tom Hooker investigates. The face of global light-commercial vehicle (LCV) fleets is changing rapidly and becoming increasingly technological. Today, fleets have multiple data points, software systems and AI tools at their disposal. At this year’s Commercial Fleets Summit 2026, industry experts focused on the different ways these technologies can benefit businesses. This ranged from enabling predictive maintenance to AI-based driver coaching. However, unless developments like these actually resolve key fleet concerns, they will remain inconsequential. So, can a more connected fleet really improve on important metrics such as return on investment (ROI), productivity and uptime? Fleet productivity and the wider ecosystem For some, the future of connected fleets is about much more than the vehicle itself. ‘Today is not about having the best van. It is about having the integration of the whole system,’ explained Jeronimo Saiz, head of fleet operations at Kia Europe. ‘You need to look at not only purchasing the van, but also having the telematics, a fantastic upfit and the best financing partner. It is a huge advantage. You are going to save money with energy consumption, route planning, how and where you service the vehicle, and how you forecast,’ he added. From left to right: Ben Varey, commercial fleet expert at Nexus Communication. Jeronimo Saiz, head of fleet operations at Kia Europe. Thomas Herzog, head of key account management international, MAN Truck & Bus AG. Thomas Unger, chief marketing officer at Sortimo. Steven Schoefs, head of strategic relations at Nexus Communication For this advantage to come to fruition, fleet connectivity across the whole ecosystem is vital. Telematics partners, maintenance partners, and the vehicle itself all need to work together. However, for many, that potential is yet to be realised. ‘Most of the large fleets are not yet fully connected. We are not getting the very best out of what we could. Connectivity, together with AI, should drive savings, more efficiency and better fleet management,’ projected Saiz. Yet any advantages may not just appear in the balance sheet. With the help of AI, a more connected LCV fleet may present other material benefits. ‘When you talk about normal wear and tear, this is what I think could be the biggest advantage of AI, to reduce [unnecessary] stops,’ highlighted Thomas Herzog, head of key account management international, MAN Truck & Bus AG. ‘Yes, we make revenue in our workshops. But if we can reduce it and help to have the van only stop working once per year, then that is beneficial for all of us,’ he added. ‘What we are facing is the chance with AI to escape from routine work and daily routines to have more time and capacity to interact with customers.’ AI agents in fleets Some of the most advanced fleets are using AI to help operations. However, the effectiveness of these agents is still reliant on data from the field. ‘How do we see fleet management in the future? At the centre, there should be an AI agent that brings the data of various systems together,’ stated Fabian Seithel, associate vice president of sales and business development EMEA at Geotab. Fabian Seithel, associate vice president of sales and business development EMEA at Geotab ‘Today, data is siloed far too much. That makes it very difficult for AI to act. A lot of it depends on input. So, the future should be an AI agent acting independently but supervised by a fleet manager who sets the tone for the agent,’ he commented. A clear shift This marks a clear shift away from using multiple telematic systems and towards more unified and automated operations. ‘Telematics started with track and trace a long time ago. Then it moved to data extraction: I want to know the fuel level [of a van in my fleet] or a fault code. But now, we are in the AI-powered phase,’ Seithel said. These systems can observe, plan, act and evaluate. For fleets, this means they can identify a problem, decide what to do and trigger the next step. Seithel cited maintenance as a clear example, outlining Geotab’s analysis of data from 5.8 million vehicles. The aim was to understand breakdown patterns and engine faults, providing an actionable risk model for fleets. ‘So, we quantify the risk of breakdown, such as 50%, then a fleet can use those predictions. Some fleets are more risk averse then others. For example, maybe in December, a delivery fleet takes the risk of a 50% breakdown to get as many parcels out as possible. We cannot drive the decision, but we can quantify the risk and explain it using contextual data,’ he explained. Another use case presented was a video-based AI coach. Observing driver behaviour, the coach could give instructions in real-time. For example, it can suggest removing a distraction or taking a break. Goldmine of fleet data Some experts argued that a major issue commercial fleets face is getting concrete value from multiple data points. ‘Every fleet is sitting on a goldmine of data. The issue we have across the industry is getting the value out. That data is a challenge for us, because the industry keeps calling what we call faster clipboards,’ said Danielle Walsh, founder and CEO of Clearly. ‘Back in the day, we held a physical clipboard and wrote down what was wrong with our fleet and how it could be managed. We then moved to the electronic age, putting data into a spreadsheet or an electronic form,’ she said. ‘That moved into the connected age, with a lot of connectivity, and we created dashboards or spreadsheets in the cloud. Now, we are in the intelligence era, and we are stuck,’ Walsh stated. She highlighted that on paper, a vehicle may appear to be in an acceptable condition. Yet, once maintenance, fuel, and finance data are combined, the story can change. Perhaps the vehicle needed servicing, not replacement, for example. ‘You can do three things when you connect your data. First, you can see what drives your cost. Is it across driver behaviour, the maintenance or the asset? Second, you know when to replace the asset, not when the lease says so. Instead, drive the decision by data. Third, make decisions on data, not policy,’ said Walsh. Ultimately, better fleet data should not just confirm prior assumptions but inform what decisions are made. Tactical fleet electrification After fleet managers discover the recommended outcomes, the next step is to act. However, when it comes to electrification, there are barriers to overcome in building confidence in these decisions. ‘The fleets responsible for ordering the vehicles have environmental, social and governance (ESG) targets, net-zero targets, or regulations asking them to electrify faster,’ outlined Alfred Richard, co-founder and CEO of Nelson. Alfred Richard, co-founder and CEO of Nelson ‘However, you have an operations manager slowing down the entire process because they are afraid of the productivity loss. How do you convince managers at the head office level and site level?’ he questioned. The solution may be connected fleet software. With more transparency and openness, the gap between aspirational fleet managers and hesitant site teams could be bridged. Before making decisions, Richard argued that fleets need to simulate real-world scenarios using a digital twin. Driver profiles, charging needs and route patterns all matter. ‘Simulation is a powerful thing. When you know what is happening, when you can control your current usage, you may anticipate what comes next. Thanks to all the existing data layers, you can build a digital twin of your fleet and simulate scenarios,’ he said. This can also help avoid oversimplified fleet strategies. Richard warned that when talking about the transition to electric LCVs, there is no one-size-fits-all solution. ‘You can run scenarios on the digital twin and see what the priority is. The goal is to know your fleet’s EV suitability at a global scale, but also have information driver by driver. It is not about electrifying everyone. It is about electrifying the suitable drivers,’ he said. Connected fleets are moving into a more active and autonomous phase. Fleet managers still want control, but less clutter. Accessing actionable insights coming from one unified source will be key. Those who can achieve this will have a distinct advantage over others.

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